Research & Polling Inc. for the Albuquerque Journal (5/27-29, likely voters):
Steve Pearce (R): 45
Heather Wilson (R): 39
Undecided: 16
(MoE: ±4%)
The last time we checked the pulse of this primary, Pearce was leading Wilson by three points in a SurveyUSA poll from earlier this month.
One important thing to note, however, is that this poll was taken before Pete Domenici’s last-minute endorsement of Wilson, his long-time political pupil. That may sway a few undecideds, but will it be enough?
Primary: June 3rd
(Hat-tip: NM FBIHOP)
is also stumping for Wilson now, with automated phone calls.
and not all that many Wilson ones around which has surprised me, considering I live in Albuquerque. Before the Domenici endorsement, I thought that Pearce would’ve pulled off the upset, but this will probably do for Wilson what Crist and Martinez did for McCain in Florida, stop the tide and give Wilson a slight win.
Still, this could be a bit of a blessing for us, the attorney-gate scandal wasn’t going to hurt Wilson in the primary, but you can bet that it will hurt in the general.
I’ve believed from the second Pearce and Wilson both entered the race that Pearce would win.
Should be close on Tuesday. Not November.
I love divided Republican primaries. Let’s hope Pearce doesn’t endorse Wilson if he loses and visa versa.
Not really who I want to win. Wilson might help White in NM-01 and Pearce might help the Republicans hold NM-02. As long as it’s very close and bloody I’m happy.
Given that we were previously at 2 out of 5 with 1/1 in the US Senate and 1/2 in the US House, I’ll be thrilled to have the Democratic Senior Senator Mr. Bingaman joined by the Junior Senator Mr. Udall (being Tom), along with 2 of the 3 US House Represenatives being Democrats (NM-03 being assured, and I’d assume NM-01 being the other). The ultimate Democratic wave produces a New Mexico delegation where all 5 Congressmen are Democrats, meaning we picked up NM-02 as well.
Even though the GOP will be at a disadvantage in the NM seat, I think nominating Pearce would be better than Wilson. I like them both, but Wilson, from her high profile close House races all these cycles, has become a polarizing figure, being attacked by Democrats for years and such, and I think it would be harder for someone in her boat to win over Independents than Pearce, who hasnt been a huge target of the Dems all this time.
endorsements don’t have much impact at all normally – you need a machine in place ready to turn that soft endorsement into votes and i doubt domenici does. pearce by 10…in the primary.